Predicting Recessions via the Sabbatical Year (Updated)

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More Financial Instability for 2015 Predicted Via the Last 7 Sabbatical Years
This is an update of an earlier blog.
In Judaism, the number 7 is very important. The Menorah in Torah has 7 candles. There are 7 days to each week, with Shabbat on the 7th day. The Sabbatical year, which for Jews occurs 1 in every 7 years, has often been a difficult year for financial markets. The financial difficulties the USA has been through show this trend to be true counting 7 Sabbaticals in a row; 2015, 2008, 2001, 1994, 1987, 1980, 1973.

In the Bible, the command to release debts in the seventh year is in Deuteronomy 15:2.

For Orthodox Jews, this is the year 5775. It is also a Sabbatical year, where according to the Bible at the end of this year debts are to be forgiven. That is 5775 / 7 = 825, meaning this is the 825th Sabbatical year since the beginning of creation. Also, please take note; the Hebrew calendar does not begin January 1st. The Hebrew year begins with Rosh Hashanah.

2015 is already following the Sabbatical year pattern financial difficulties. It is already my first example, and since August of 2014 the market has shown increased instability, where September was the time of Rosh Hashanah, the date of the Jewish New Year’s 5775 beginning.

This does not mean that Jews are to blame for anything. The Sabbatical is Gd’s way. Gd is sovereign. It is up to us to figure how to rule this world. This just happens to be the way Gd makes us work.

Let me illustrate: it is now 2015 according to the Gregorian calendar, a Sabbatical year, the 825th Sabbatical, and financial markets are already showing signs of correction. The pattern is as such, by subtracting 7 years from 2015, as the Sabbatical occurs every 7 years; we end up with the last financial crisis, the Great Recession of 2008.
2015 - 7 = 2008, the 824th Sabbatical and a year of recession.

A 3rd example of this market recession pattern is the “Early 2000s recession” that lasted from March 2001–Nov 2001.
2008 – 7 = 2001, the 823rd Sabbatical year, and a year of recession.

A 4th example of financial difficulty similar to this pattern was a bond market selloff of 1994.
2001 - 7 = 1994, the 822nd Sabbatical year, where there was a bond market selloff.

A 5th example is Black Monday (1987), where there was a historical stock market crash in the year 1987.
1994 - 7 = 1987, the 821st Sabbatical year, and a period of market instability

A 6th example is the “1980 recession” that lasted from Jan–July 1980.
1987 - 7 = 1980, the 820th Sabbatical year, and a year of recession.

A 7th example is the “1973–75 recession” that lasted from Nov 1973 – Mar 1975.

1980 – 7 = 1973 yet another number divisible by 7 that follows the pattern of Sabbatical years.

In Judaism, the number 7 is very important.  The Menorah in Torah has 7 candles.  There are 7 days to each week, with Shabbat on the 7^th day.  The Sabbatical year, which for Jews occurs 1 in every 7 years, has often been a difficult year for financial markets.  In the Bible, the command to release debts in the seventh year is in Deuteronomy (15:2).

For Orthodox Jews, this is the year 5775, and since it is a Sabbatical year, at the end of this year debts are to be forgiven.  That is 5775 / 7 = 825, meaning this is the 825th Sabbatical year since the beginning of creation.  Huh? Maybe there is something to these ancient teachings.  Also, please take note; the Hebrew calendar does not begin January 1^st.  The Hebrew year begins with Rosh Hashanah.

This does not mean that Jews are to blame for anything.  The Sabbatical is Gd’s.  Gd is sovereign.  This just happens to be the way Gd makes things work.

Let me illustrate: it is now 2015 according to the Gregorian Calendar, a Sabbatical year, and financial markets are already showing signs of correction.  It does appear that this year will follow the established pattern.  The pattern is as such, by subtracting 7 years from 2015, as the Sabbatical occurs every 7 years, we up with the last financial crisis, the Great Recession of 2008.  Thus, 2015 - 7 = 2008, a year of recession.

A 3^rd example of this market recession pattern is the “Early 2000s recession” that lasted from March 2001–Nov 2001.  2008 – 7 = 2001, a year of recession.

A 4^th example is the “1980 recession” that lasted from Jan–July 1980.  2001 - ( 7 * 3 ) = 1980, a year of recession.  Thus, it is not only on Sabbatical years that recessions can occur, and more importantly the Sabbatical year does not mandate recession.

A 5^th example is the “1973–75 recession” that lasted from Nov 1973 – Mar 1975.  1980 – 7 = 1973 yet another number divisible by 7 that follows the pattern of Sabbatical years.

USA’s Financial Problems:The Fiscal Cliff and the Debt Ceiling 2012

The people that know money also know why we are having such a rotten day according to the stock market. Most people could care less about that.  Don’t pay attention to the stock market.  It is controlled by insider training.  Yesterday it went down, but that is only temporary because stock traders live to count money and making bubbles is one way they get to count more of it.

However, there is more to this story: The value of the dollar has also plummeted for the same reason.  This is something to be concerned about.  People should definitely care about the devaluation of the dollar because it means that prices are going to go.  Likewise, we haven’t seen any increase in wages, so we should not expect that our employers will compensate us for the ailing dollar.

There are other ways that the USA will struggle.  Each time the debt ceiling is raised, it will cause panic until one day the government creditors stop giving credit.  If nothing is done at this fiscal cliff, the next one will be twice as bad!  Putting of the problem is as the USA may be compared to an alcoholic, spending itself into oblivion.  Every time we put off our troubles, they not only get worse; they multiply.  The next time the USA credit is downgraded, look at yourself as a voter.  If we don't go over the fiscal cliff and fall, this type of cliff only gets bigger and bigger. Better not to dig ourselves further in by raising the debt ceiling.